4th industrial revolution. Is Russia expecting a Fourth Industrial Revolution? Heritage for people

The fourth industrial revolution is coming. Humanity to move to another form of practice: it creates a surfaceThe digital industry is based on the mutual penetration of information technologies.

First we discussed the topicat the World Economic Forum in 2016. Some of the WEF members include nearly 1,000 of the largest companies in the world, about future changesLess than 1% of people on earth already feel this. That hundred who have accumulated 50% of the planet's resources in their hands. And, possibly, the closest service personnel.

What did the population of the Earth lose from the decision?

Chatkovo is the very fact of profound changes in the production industry. Even the news about the forum at ZMI did not have any particular place. Until recently, such information might not have passed through editorial policy.

But the main thing is that the audience of the forum flocked and will continue to flock in the same way. Changes in production are dictated by new technologies. The peculiarity of these technologies is that they cannot serve the most vulnerable representatives of humanity. Moreover, the economic and political, philosophical, ethical and aesthetic systems that the rulers of the greatest capital created in the world were ruinous.

The Defense Forces of the Fourth Industrial Revolution are already afraid that they will be bitterly scolded about its arrival. It’s time to bring these old nightmares into life:

Make an hour to hire practitioners for creativity and enlightenment

To create light accessible and cost-free for everyone

Remake the robot at the reception

Rationally distribute resources for the formation of a reasonable and planned economy

To kill all types of political order, except democracy, and replace them with

Deplete bureaucrats

Let people live their lives thoroughly

Renew the ecological balance of the earth

I came to such conclusions after reading the book “The Fourth Industrial Revolution”, published by the Russian publishing house “E” in 2017. Its author is Klaus Schwab, founder and president of the World Economic Forum. He analyzes how new discoveries in physics, chemistry and mathematics are changing our world today, and how, due to their influx, marriage may change in a few dozen Rokiv. In this article, I will briefly outline the most important caveats and forecasts.

Work as a substitute

Many people have already realized that their work place is being automated. And one of the biggest changes that can happen to 3D printers. The smells of the building “multiply” may even include details, objects and other organs. This makes it easier for representatives of hundreds of professions. At the moment, devices are actively developing in three areas - automotive, aerospace and medical. Besides, they’re already on fire . Schwab brings up statistics, according to which 81.1% of respondents believe that by 2025, 5% of the world's most popular goods will be produced using additional 3D printers.

At that very hour, many experiments install sensors and other numerical methods for connecting the speeches of the physical world with virtual dimensions. On a thought According to Gartner analysts, the number of connected devices in the world will reach 21 billion units in 2020, Intel gives another, even more optimistic, figure – 200 billion.Such innovations are likely to facilitate the interaction between the Cosmos, the workspace, and the robot.

“...The rise of technology and the Internet of speech is giving companies the opportunity to combine the digital and physical spheres in a way that is meaningful to the military. For example, industrial equipment that operates with high flexibility or in critical situations can use devices that can be worn in order to help design and repair parts. The importance and updating of systems on connected devices ensures that practitioners use new advances on their own time, Schwab describes the prospects for the development of such devices.

Robots help robot workers at the BMW plant in the USA

The work place of people whose main possession is a computer can completely disappear in a few dozen years. With skin rock more companies hire healthcare workers, accept their work and pay for it remotely.

Minimum working day

Projects like Uber Pributkovi And there are pressures on companies to employ more than their own workers as freelancers. These types of workers now look for workers to work on a project, use up their workforce for a few years a day, and then hire new workers for other projects. “For such specialists, professional activity revolves around the exact task and specific projects that are carried out until the end of the world. The main features of such people will be greater freedom and mobility,” explains Schwab.

Another factor that is likely to reduce our working hours is the inevitable robotization of production and professions. A reduction in the working day is expected with the help of a reduction in time-hour costs for work and an increase in its efficiency: if previously the vacancy of a nurse’s work required, say, 8 years, then with the arrival of a robot they will be able to Ikonati nabagato shvidshe. This is what the economists participating in the forum know before speaking, and economy.

However, Schwab in his book reports that robotization threatens to lead to problems in the sphere of employment of the population, while companies now rely on hiring more workers, making them more productive and precision robots. Why is this happening? Is technology itself to blame for this turn? In my opinion, this is a topic for a definitive article.

Robots in manufacturing that have replaced people

Development as inevitability

Computers, smartphones, cars, speech and clothes that allow access to the Internet are the ones that humanity will inevitably encounter in the next decade.In 2015, the number of IoT items around the world reached around 5 billion.

While there are so many people, only about 40% of the world's inhabitants are connected to the Internet through some device. However, now 85% of the planet's inhabitants live within a couple of hundred kilometers from the rosemary towers. The total number of smartphone users is 2.5 billion. There are currently over 3.5 billion people using the Internet.

How will it be possible for people to capture what knowledge they have once the Internet becomes accessible behind the scenes? Schwab gives a long and informative report on this topic. Briefly, his testimony: soon, no. Your hacker will be found in your security system and your data will be protected. And of course, nothing can go wrong with the extensive information needed for insight and creativity. There's a great flow of "khlina" from billions of people.

Well, before traditional coverage, then in any form it did not exist after the Fourth Industrial Revolution, it should become the beginning and influx of augmented reality and the development of recommendation programs (such as Stepic).

Another important aspect that Schwab predicts is the future increase in the prestige of “creative” professions. “The near future has a low risk of automation and professions that gain social and creative skills,” he writes. I say that payment is not automated. What can motivate people to try their creativity is no worse than the availability of the Internet.

Razumne sozhivannya

Technology is already changing the way we live, let’s face it.

People's positions of power are being transformed. For example, various items, transport and other things can now be rented from authorities and companies rather than purchased. This technology is called “sharing” (from the English word “to share”). The most popular and most popular option is, of course, car sharing.According to Frost & Sullivan's research, as of 2011, Europe has approximately 700 thousand prepayers for such services. Until 2020, the number of prepayers will increase to 15 million people, and the number of available cars will increase to 240 thousand.

Just as I saw SchwabSherring to ensure effective vikoristannya, in advance, there are few stagnant assets. For example, not the car itself, but a free place with it (BlaBlacar), an unoccupied bed near the apartment (Tvil.ru) etc. The author of the book calls the economy, where most companies operate in the sphere of such services, “an economy of opportunity” and prophesies the Swedish coming.

It is important that the technology of sharing can work as a careless addition of privacy and special power. Do you have a special car in mind that you need to refuel and maintain because you just need to get from point A to point B? Nowadays it’s a professional camera, so what do you think is important and poignant? Renting now means replacing goods with services that are more rational and cheaper.

Changes are expected in the heads of the entrepreneurs. So, Uber today provides a ride service, but is not the owner of cars. And the biggest owner of hotel rooms in the world, Airbnb, doesn’t care about the hotel. In the near future, it will not be at all obligatory to become the master of the production processes in order to extract the maximum profit from them.

The simplest way is to “translate” the reaction of people to goods, which brings the planned economy closer. In the future, those living in the market who have reached market affluence are increasingly critical of goods and their delivery. For the reliability of the program developers, it was necessary to develop numerical analytical services. They, first of all, collect highly detailed data about buyers and create a rich picture of shopping behavior ( Data Cafe ). In other words, to increase the clarity of choice for buyers. Competera) . Thirdly, buildings plan and optimize production ( APS and ERP systems).

In addition, Schwab does not forget that in the abstract, “successful organizations will evolve from hierarchical structures to models linked to scientific practices.” Then it will be possible to create analytical services not for one generation, but for many sectors and in different areas. I mean that with the further development of analytical services and systems, perhaps people will be able to create such a system for the state (on the platform ). Although rulers want power, they say, such “analytical services” are not worthy.

Consider new installations using programs like OPower, which will allow you to equalize your level of living with that of your neighbors and find ways to save resources.

Police cars

Many current political systems may not survive the Fourth Industrial Revolution. “The key point is now: technology is increasingly empowering people with new meanings, giving them a new way to figure out their thoughts, coordinate their thoughts and, perhaps, find ways to bypass the sovereign gaze,” says Schwab. In his words, the central role of orders is changing due to the increase in such competition, as well as the redistribution and decentralization of power. The citizens will have to face an advanced part in political life. And officials, in order not to become confused, will make their structures as insightful, effective and efficient as possible.

Otherwise, this robot can be fully automated through dozens of steps. “You may begin to realize that the data collection methods they used earlier are no longer necessary, that you can move to “big data” technology to automate your work, and also introduce innovative approaches to providing these services. to the masses,” says the author of the book. So, as a result of the rapid transformation of the “great data”, it is possible to make decisions more quickly and efficiently from a wide range of ideas and accessories.

The fourth industrial revolution will change the functions of powers. Most importantly, the future war of the cyber war. The peculiarity of this device lies in the fact that during the hour of combat operations there are any measures or connections to the device. As a result, the line between war and peace becomes less visible (am I a warrior or a civilian?), and the idea of ​​an attack itself is blurred, so that you will no longer be able to tell who is attacking you and who is attacking you. The replacement of these warring powers with other powers threatens "infinite and unclear identification of hackers, terrorists, criminals, activists, etc." Moreover, cyberwar can also be carried out by a company or a physical person (think about the recent attacks on Rosneft). Are the sovereign military forces responsible for carrying out all cyber attacks on their territory and their citizens? And what is the message from the power to the people, if all the wars arise, besides the cyber ones?

Another function of the region is to collect funds from consumer needs - taxes. All of a sudden, the “best economy” creates serious problems for collecting donations, since wealthy freelancers find it easier and more profitable to work on the black market. In addition, there are decentralized payment systems that are important for monitoring the similarity and significance of transactions. In this way, a number of rich countries will have to fight hard for the “increase” of tax revenues. Otherwise, state budgets will inevitably be in dispute.

Turbot about nature

It is important to consider whether people will switch to alternative energy sources and switch to eco-mobiles. Eco-towns may also be deprived of wonder for many years.

Ale Schwab emphasizes that there are other technologies with great potential for the regeneration of our natural environment - Internet speech technologies. They allow you to regulate the flow of materials and energy in order to achieve maximum efficiency in every possible way. “Cisco estimates that out of 14.4 trillion dollars in economic benefits that will be realized from the Internet of speeches in the next decade, 2.7 trillion dollars in economic benefits could be lost due to the shortening of income and optimization of delivery and logistics. With the help of online speeches, it is also possible to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 9.1 billion per year by 2020. This is 16.5% of the obligations of this fate,” writes the economist.

The concept of an eco-location of a team from China.

Also, in Schwab’s opinion, the upcoming democratization of information and increased transparency in business will allow citizens to dominate the world and corporations that regularly violate environmental laws.

Have a long and healthy life

People will soon become healthier and more complete. In recent years, significant progress has been made in lowering the risk and simplifying genetic sequencing - identification of genetic defects (mutations) in DNA, which are the cause of illnesses, differences and peculiarities of the body. And quite recently - in the activation and editing of genes. Today's sequencing can cost as little as a year or as much as a hundred dollars. For example, using IBM Watson, for a small amount of money, you can create an individual cancer treatment program based on data about your genes, treatment history and illness. Not only cancer, but many other uncomplicated medical problems have a genetic component, so the ability to identify individual genetic make-up would be an effective and low-cost way to revolutionize an effective health care system. The technology makes it possible, for example, to destroy organs before transplantation. The researchers began to shape the pig genome with the method of harvesting organs for human transplantation. The development of such biotechnologies, as estimated by analysts of the World Economic Forum, will lead to an increase in the population to 8 billion by 2030.

It is inevitable that part of the old population will increase among the world. According to Schwab's data, the population rate already in 2016 fell lower than in Europe, but also in New America, the Caribbean, most countries of Asia, the Middle East and Pivnichno ї Africa. In 2017, the trends have not changed.

How much money do people spend on their lives, how much money do they take from money is the subject of the most economical discussion.

Pislyamova

Schwab's book clearly reveals the potential of new technologies. Being an optimist, this European economist hopes that the present will provide all people with a new, richer standard of living. Help resolve previously unrelated problems in various areas. Creations for the formation of a more just marriage, similar to those that promote the world's communes.

Well, at the same time, Schwab honestly knows that the rulers of great capital are going to quickly use these technologies to serve their own interests (as they did in the early industries of the revolution). Instead of shifting wages and changing working hours, people are encouraged to make a salary, saving money for work. A growing number of freelancers are planning to become freelancers in order to avoid paying the minimum cost of living. They are beginning to be inspired by the automation of production, motivated by pseudo-turbo about the earnings of hired workers. As soon as Schwab’s fears are confirmed, the technology is intended to better divide the planet’s resources and improve the lives of all 7 billion people, who are still working “idlely”, by 1% of the “earthlings”.

However, the progress is brutal to the point of little shuffling of the egoists. Now it is time for the world to experience an industrial revolution. So that the new technology could retain its essential functions. So that 99% of humanity knows: all the resources and benefits of the earth are created for them. Lean on it. And they took back their great wealth.

The main theme of 2016 was global changes that will face humanity in the coming future. The scale of these changes can be adjusted to the output of a steam engine, conveyor doors or the appearance of computer microchips.

FORECASTS FOR MAYBURN

American futurist Raymond Kurzweil is well known in the world with scientific forecasts that may be correcting the trend. In his books “The Age of Weak Machines” (1990), “The Age of Spiritual Machines” (1999) and “The Singularity Is Near: A True Story About the Future” (2005) he described a number of trends that are on our radar in the near future.

Together with Kurzweil, until 2020, the most important PC will reach the tension associated with the human brain. By 2025, a mass market of gadgets-implants will appear, and by 2031, doctors will construct a human organ on a 3D printer, reaching the potential realization of immortality by 2042. Even before the middle of the 21st century, non-biological intelligence will become billions of times more intelligent, less biological, and the Earth will become one great computer. Yakshcho Zgadati progress at the rosvita of all -ups Pavutini, on the way, Kilkіst of the ashes, the puppy of izhotnet (10 million in 1997 Rotsi I 187 billion in 2013 Rotsi), the scenario of the skin is fantastic.

INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION 4.0

The new industrial revolution is often called Industry 4.0, adding significant significance to the use of computer and telephone operating systems. First of all, this term was heard in 2011 when the FRN Department called Industry 4.0 an invisible part of the German High-Tech Strategy 2020. A working group was created and designated its work as a new industrial one. ї revolutions as a hidden advance in the process of industrial production of cyberphysical systems, like other stages, and they can independently control and optimize production.

Hundreds of people The Fourth Industrial Revolution is the ultra-automation of production, the growing role of robotics and artificial intelligence in business, order and private life, as well as the absolute interconnection between people and machines, regardless of location It's time.

REVOLUTION CONTAGION

About those that the Fourth Industrial Revolution is gaining momentum, you can note not only the illegal access to the Internet. In line with the announcement of the World Economic Forum in Davos, the proliferation of mobile devices and Internet sensors has made it possible to capture detailed and accurate data in real time Their food: from shopping to monitoring patients.

The stable economic growth and popularity of brands such as Apple, Google and Samsung encourages other companies to compete for a place in the new industrial reality. Incentivize companies to appeal to the powers, as they do not want to soon be cut off from the flow of ideas, capital will end up on the periphery of the light development.

It is already known that Germany sees support for the development of industrial infrastructure by 40 billion euros soon. Since 2014, the UK has directly allocated over 70 million pounds sterling for the development of the “Internet of Speeches”, which is called HyperCat. This “worldwide web for machines” is the main data bank, vikorista, that robots and computers interact and complete tasks without human participation. In 2015, France is expected to have 200 million euros in funding for the La French Tech program, which supports the development of French IT companies and start-ups. And this is all, without even mentioning the regions with the greatest IT potential for the USA, China and South Korea.

PROMOTIONS AND LOSERS

Who will be the leader for achieving a new industrial revolution? According to UBS research, the winner will lose his guilt. They themselves occupy the first 15th place in the ranking of powers, in order to capture potential benefits from the Fourth Industrial Revolution. At this time of the crisis, which is developing, there is a serious risk of overcrowding, especially through a large number of average and low-skilled labor force, which is simply not needed in the new epic of total automation. “The technological infrastructure of the countries that are developing is limited, preventing them from continuing to accelerate the achievements of absolute interconnectedness,” said the UBS report.

What does this new perspective mean for Russia? According to the given rating, our region is ranked 31st, ahead of, for example, Italy and Thailand. However, we cannot talk about rainbow prospects. According to the idea of ​​German Gref, expressed at the Gaidar Forum, Russia has seriously advanced in terms of technology. And in order not to lose the middle of the “edge-downshifters”, the state needs serious structural changes - starting from replacing the outdated Radian model of illumination, before moving to a different culture in the organization work business processes in other companies.

HUMAN FACTOR

The revolutionary upheaval of the next day will appear in public. And while some are looking for a change in activity, others are looking for new prospects. According to Davoskiy’s report to the forum, by 2020 there are about 4.7 million office workers, 1.6 million borrowed from the industrial sector and about 0.5 million from the civil society. i. Among the workers who show up, the maximum is 500 thousand. in the sphere of business and finance, 400 thousand each. - in the field of management and IT, over 300 thousand. - in architecture and engineering, as well as 300 thousand. - in the sales sphere.

However, the beginning of a new industrial revolution does not mean that people will cease to be a valuable resource and will increasingly move to the sphere of robots and computers. Of course, people, and more precisely their skills and talents, are becoming an even more valuable resource, and the struggle for each part of the company and the future will become even stronger. Therefore, the problem of “spreading blood” is unacceptable for countries that are developing. It is possible to miss the start of revolutionary changes, but to catch up with the faults of the country that has moved forward, without intellectual food it is impossible. If we talk about Russia, then the rise to innovative changes is not the worst. There is concern among those who, with growing emigration, will carry out revolutionary changes and no one will be able to create innovation.

NEW EPOCH

The founder and permanent head of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Klaus Schwab, is one of the leading investigators of the problem of the new industrial revolution.

From this era to the past, Schwab holds great respect for the forerunners: “This Fourth Industrial Revolution... is characterized by a whole range of new technologies, which combine physical, digital and biological Eternal light that flows into all areas: economics, industry and inspires complex ideas about those that mean being human.”

However, in Schwab’s opinion, it is important to remember that the new era and the new technologies it brings with it are technologies created by people for people. And we will return with new calls to realize the possibilities that we hope, “if we organize interaction between different regions, regions and disciplines.”

Last year the 46th International Economic Forum ended in Davos. The main topics discussed there were naphtha prices, Iran and the situation in Ukraine, although the nominally headline topic for the forum was “The Fourth Industrial Revolution.” The founder of the forum, the Swiss economist and one of the leading theorists of the “Industry 4.0” phenomenon, Klaus Schwab, spoke more and more actively about their thoughts and comments. We considered the current findings and forecasts.

We live in the era yet third industrial (or digital) revolution which began in the other half of the last century and is characterized by expanded information and communication technologies.

Drivers change

The first industrial revolution began in the other half of the 18th century, when it became possible to use water and steam to switch from manual to machine work. The other period was characterized by the development of mass conveyor manufacturing, coupled with the mastery of electrical engineering. We live in the era of what is still the third industrial (or digital) revolution, which began in the other half of the last century with the creation of digital computers and the subsequent evolution of information technologies. Today, it is gradually transforming into the fourth industrial revolution, which is characterized by the evolution of technology and the diversification of boundaries between the physical, digital and biological spheres. This is how Klaus Schwab, the founder and head of the Light Economic Forum, describes it.

The concept of the fourth industrial revolution, or Industry 4.0, was first formulated at the Hannover Exhibition in 2011, which signified the introduction of “cyber-physical systems” in factory processes. It is hoped that the systems will be integrated into one network, communicate with one another in real time, self-adjust and learn new behavior patterns. Such measures can generate production with fewer changes, interact with goods that are changing, and, if necessary, adapt to the new needs of residents. For example, choosing from the process of release can itself mean the possession, preparation and preparation of it. And everything will be done entirely autonomously without human participation.

Thus, since the automation of production, which began in the middle of the 20th century, is a small university specialization, for which control systems were developed for the skin sector and industries were limited and did not scale, then new technologies are based of the personal revolution, the underlying developments of global industrial measures.

Based on the survey of 800 leaders of technology companies, conducted specifically for the forum in Davos, the key drivers of change will be dark technologies, the development of methods for collecting and analyzing Big Data, crowdsourcing, the sharing economy and biotechnologies. ї.

Pershu on the gentry 4.0 became Nimechin, Yak, as part of the rod-groced leaps-technologic strategic strategic, Investwati in Nova INTERNNENT-INFRASTRUPTION IS The stem standard for 40 mILARIRIVs on the RIK. Similar programs are being implemented in other developed countries - China, New Korea and the USA, where in 2014 a non-profit consortium Industrial Internet was created, among the founders of which are General Electric, AT&T, IBM and Intel.

Based on the survey of 800 leaders of technology companies, conducted specifically for the forum in Davos, the key drivers of change will be dark technologies, the development of methods for collecting and analyzing Big Data, crowdsourcing, the sharing economy and biotechnologies. ї. Among other forecasts of experts, the leaders are “smart” clothing, Internet connections, driverless cars and medicine based on a 3D image. In addition, 45% of respondents believe that in 2025 there may be unique wisdom on the boards of directors of great companies.

Klaus Schwab spoke about this on the forum in his promo: “The capabilities of billions of people, connected with one mobile device with a gigantic effort and memory, which give access to all the knowledge of mankind, are truly limitless. And these possibilities will multiply exponentially due to new breakthroughs in the areas of artificial intelligence, robotics, the Internet of speeches, autonomous transport, nanotechnology, materials science and quantum computers. Piece intelligence is already here in the form of autonomous cars, drones, virtual assistants, transfer programs.”

Who needs to understand that the evils of the technological paradigm have new prospects, and new social campaigns associated with the transformation of the market.

Until 2020 new technologies
virobnitsa is everywhere
robotization indulge robots
5.1 million people.

Social revolution

Based on the information prepared before the forum, by 2020, new technologies and robotics everywhere will reduce the number of robots by 5.1 million people. The most serious problems will soon appear among office and administrative services. On the other hand, there are a lot of demanding and high-paying professions today that have not been seen for another ten years, the volatility of changes in the market for skin cancer is still increasing, and the decline in employment is partially compensated There are two million employees in engineering, finance and computer fields.

The replacement of the most important parts of human resources for the comprehensive development of automation is most likely to appear in countries that are developing, where the defects of innovative technologies have hitherto been compensated by inexpensive labor force. Great growth is turning to Europe and the USA, allowing the region to develop an important industrial resource.

In addition to the massive loss of workers, technological developments can cause a widening gap between capital income and as a result of growing inequality, including gender, etc. edited by practitioners. Those who benefit from the changes are those who provide intellectual and physical capital, such as retailers, shareholders and investors. And if you rely on workers with a low level of education and lower qualifications, they will, as a result, decrease.

The powers need to immediately start rebuilding the system of upgrading and training police officers, modernizing the infrastructure in order to create new work places and develop new progressive tax legislation.

Philip Jennings, Secretary General of the UNI Global Union, spoke about this at the forum:

“Let us marvel at the scale of the problem that faces us. We already have 200 million unemployed people. Half of the world's workers live on less than a couple of dollars a day and work in the unofficial sector. As soon as the digital revolution has begun, then, looking at these statistical data, there is panic.”

This forecast was made by US Vice President Joe Biden, who came up with the idea that the new digital revolution could completely destroy the middle class in the US and the guilty countries. At the open forum in Davos, he spoke at length about the pessimistic scenario to which the development of technology can lead:

“Automation may mean more work for the manager of a trucking company with self-driving vehicles, but for tens of thousands of drivers it means a waste of space and labor resources. Our goal is to adjust these upcoming changes to the benefit of marriage, to work so that there are more winners, less those who lose. Previously, in other eras, at moments of tectonic changes, we were given the opportunity to earn money, but today, on the crest of a new revolution, it will be even more important.”

According to Biden’s words, in order to be unique, the powers need to immediately start rebuilding the system of education and training of frontline workers, modernize the infrastructure to create new work places and develop new progressive tax legislation, which will change concentration of wealth.

Blockchain

As part of the discussion of the fourth industrial revolution, the forum participants gave great respect to cryptocurrencies and Blockchain technologies. The director of the International Monetary Fund, Christine Lagarde, dedicated her speech to her, calling on the regulatory authorities to develop a comprehensive approach to cryptocurrencies instead of protecting them. Representatives of the Russian delegation, for example Oleksiy Kudrin, also spoke about Blockchain:

“For me, Blockchain means the next step: that every person can access the database, write out all the necessary documents for purchasing a plot, formulate this package within a year, send it to the relevant authorities within a year, etc. to confirm everything, withdraw confirmation. This is, without a doubt, a revolution. I still dream that if a politician who is present and speaks with his propositions, everyone will have a scenario on their computer that indicates their dependence on the resources that the state has. Iyam, for which you can sing.”

I German Gref:

“Virtual currencies are a great international experiment that breaks the paradigm of the currency issue. They do not need to be weeded out; they need to be made aware of and, possibly, properly regulated. The world's technologies are undergoing colossal development. It is not yet clear to us why they are trying to actually close down this business. There will be a colossal amount of time back, as soon as this will be implemented, but I am already convinced that this will not be allowed. Blockchain will turn everything upside down, unfortunately, and the state authorities are also at the mercy of misfortune, so the transformation will be difficult for all of us.”

Uber does not have a rich fleet of taxis, Facebook itself does not generate rich content, but The world's largest online store Alibaba does not carry any of its products.

Role of business

New technologies are changing the proposition and the future. The final product sales are increasingly flowing into the sales of companies that want them to cater to their needs in all categories - from design and market to delivery methods. In his article for Foreign Affairs, Klaus Schwab sees the main effects that the fourth industrial revolution can have on business: through increased production of labor market, reduction in the quality of products, greater innovation and new and forms of organization. The advantage will be for companies that have a unique platform that brings people together, rather than being an underlying asset. Thus, Uber does not have a rich fleet of taxis, Facebook itself does not produce any rich content, and the world’s largest online store, Alibaba, does not carry any rich goods.

The role of the power

Just as people can more actively participate in the work of great companies, so citizens, with the help of new technologies, can more actively take part in political life. And besides this, the fourth industrial revolution was hampered by problems of national and international security, which completely changed the very nature of military conflicts. According to Klaus Schwab, future conflicts will have a hybrid character and will involve direct action on the battlefield with non-power objects and elements:

“The cordon between war and peace, soldier and civilian and violence and non-violence (think cyber terrorism) appears to be terribly difficult. With the development of military technologies, the emergence of biological and autonomous formations, powerless people can achieve the same level of lethality as powers. This influx makes the population swell with fear. In this case, technological advances have the potential to change the insecurity of military operations by creating dry systems or increasing the accuracy of the armor.”

One of the solution tools
congestion problems There is a circular economy that transfers a continuous flow of technical and biological materials
in case of virus production and saving
valuable natural resources
.

Ecology and circular economy

Linear models of reproduction, which we inherited from the recessions and early revolutions, today reveal no serious shortcomings, one of which is environmental problems that are growing; And a new industrial revolution is called for to correct the negative attitudes that have accumulated. One of the tools of the growing problem of congestion and ensuring a stable environmental future is the circular economy, which transfers a continuous flow of technical and biological materials at the hour of generation and saving. other natural resources. In his article prepared at the forum, Chris Deadcott, senior vice president of Cisco, praises the ability to ensure technological progress for the widespread promotion of the circular economy:

“The proliferation of speeches on the Internet reveals the possibility of implementing circular innovations. Reduced availability of sensor technologies and wider ranges allow you to connect the skin component that is present in the manufacturing process. The data that is collected through such connections makes it possible to determine the location of the product, the method of production and the amount of energy expended on its production. This data is the basis of the circular economy. The information that is derived from them allows businesses, localities, and other countries to more effectively renew, create, and redirect resources.”

Concepts of the fourth industrial revolution (Industry 4.0)

Propaganda myth and “sign of death”

The “fourth industrial revolution”, for the 4PR system, is positioned as a massive introduction of robotization and digital control technologies to reduce the backlog of industrial production due to the availability of labor force and give an additional impulse to localization prices of the real sector. In fact, 4PR is about globalization and universalization of the principles of “distributed” generation and access to finance. No more, but no less. And there is nothing new in principle in this approach: its key elements were tested back in the 1980s, both in the workplace and in the management level.

  • There is no new energy platform. We rely on these same energy platforms, which are 30 years old, and the advertised “alternative” energy sources are actually archaic (they don’t sell anything about their profitability).
  • There is no new transport platform. It is important to study the technologies of the 1980s, leading to Galusa's exploration of space. Despite the destruction of social accessibility to other types of transport (especially the Swedish one), the strategic move did not emerge. Reducing logistics costs is achieved most importantly with the help of additional organizational inputs.
  • There was no mass production of fundamentally new materials. In the sphere of new materials, the creation of new powers for old materials is destroyed, and there is practically nothing globally revolutionary.
  • There is no visible revolutionary destruction in the field of energy efficiency in production. I would like to note, obviously, the evolutionary destruction of the reduced energy intensity of social life, which, however, is not always adequate from the point of view of “variety-efficiency”.
Let's look at the principles of one of the key economic innovations of the 1980-90s - Toyota Production System. When introducing the ideological and motivational part (“kaizen”), it is important to integrate service, logistics and management warehouses into the manufacturing process. The principles of “Toyota” are more powerful, and that is managerial post-industrialism, then. management is not so much resources as it is time and space, the key warehouses of the post-industrial world. This approach is consistent with the ideas of 4PR.

From this strategic point of view, the cumulative effect of the changes of the 1980s was greater. But they were not respected for changing the essence of economical drains. And the totality of these changes was not seen as a globally catastrophic event that could destroy the entire current economic order. There are clearly too many changes of mind for future actions, but not all aspects of the functioning of the real sector of the world economy. We will inevitably suffer serious social consequences. But by itself it is not a revolution.

From a strategic point of view, the development of the “digital economy” and the 4PR are not as mutually reinforcing as mutually competing models for the further development of the global economy. Particularly from the position, the point of development of the models is reorganized into the “investment rent”. The key type of “digital economy” is the ability to generate “rent” from investment “return”. 4PR, as a result of investment rent, is deprived of entire real resources and production.

In essence, there is no real technological – and economical – basis for 4PR as for the “industry revolution”. The global “order of the day” now has only two aspects that can be seen as truly “revolutionary”: new global logistics and new technologies of global finance.

Until the moment when the new logistics (the new Trans-American Canal, the Great Seam Highway, the Pivnich-Pivden transport corridor, the pipeline system bypassing economical limpets, the Trans-African Transport Corridor) begins to play a proper global role, it may pass more 5- 7 rocks. It is obvious that the opposition to these projects will not pass into a forceful phase. In the meantime, the “new logistics” is being deprived of the political-informational factor.

One element of 4PR, which in practice is of “revolutionary” significance, is the focus on the radical recovery of financial communications and financial and investment investments in the current economy.

Vineka, prote, smut: what is the focal point of investment processes during the 4PR? Unsurprisingly, at the initial stage there will be a need for large investment resources for the technological renewal of essential assets and for the improvement of inevitable social services that are connected with them. And the first 5 rocks of the “revolution” can be quite investment-friendly, although socially extremely unsafe – and, certainly, threaten with serious losses in the guilty countries of the industrial world, where There will be a remarkably high level of living and saving of the industrial structure of the marriage.

Industrial regions become an important part not only of the world that is developing, but of the European Union, starting from Germany, where the structure of the economy corresponds to the larger industrial model around the world, down to Russia, and finally to Italy. Without even talking about Poland or Spain. Instead of the difference between the “primary” and “primary” flanks of the EU, there is a watershed behind the criterion of industrial/post-industrial. And they may turn out to be richly politically harsh and socially hostile.

At the current time of 5-7 years, and in the historical plan there is an extremely close prospect, the risk of the formation of the “bulb” is due to the fact that the resources that are involved in financial speculation will not be able to find economically bankable assets ів for investment. One of the most important positive conditions of 4PR is that the system is very comfortable in economical and management terms, which allows for the implementation of operational reorganization. The order of periodic complete renewal of fixed assets, the largest capitalist element of the daily real sector, is being introduced.

The key component of 4PR itself is not modernization as such, but the geographical cascade of technological processes, as well as the scaling of production, depending on the size and dynamics of markets. And this, before speech, will be a great cry for the post-graduate space.

However, the system of developing competitiveness, characteristic of both industrial and post-industrial capitalism, is no longer relevant. The basis is not efficiency, which is elevated within the framework of financial and investment capitalism to the rank of great value, but adaptability, the ability to quickly adapt to markets that change both clearly and differently. Of course, accessible from the point of view of economically efficient logistics. But the picture is completely different not only from the perspective of global nutrition associated with the redistribution of technological and logistics rents, but also from practical investment planning.

The food is running out: where does the direct investment flow go? “At the first close one” such questions are direct:

  • Geographic mobility of assets. Compact, deserted enterprises are well-known and secure industrial centers. A sharp reduction was necessary for logistical security. Go to “Lego-folding”. The main investment focus is engineering and adaptation of production to the needs of regions and macro-regions (glocalization).
  • Main technological solutions. Key technological rents are not subject to and are collected on the basis of basic technologies, as well as the development and production of key components, the contribution of which to the underlying product may be small.
  • Human capital. Organization of social-virtual (and not just industrial) space around assets and social-security and trade infrastructure of 4PR. Although the scale of this potential “investment area” is unlikely to be too large, it will be necessary to improve the sales infrastructure, rather than the production of products.

An industrial revolution has been announced - this may have turned to the handicraft adaptive, customized production, and even more importantly - with the removal of restrictions on access to investment resources and with a sharply increased "connectivity" of technology them and the operational processes that can be achieved across a wide range of technologies "blockchain" » financial sector. The “factory-industrial” model has an advantage in scale, which was already one of the key ones in the first half of the 2000s.

A quick look at nutrition about 4PR brings us to the conclusion: on the right, it’s definitely not in industry, but ahead of us in financial and logistical security. And also the possibility of residual damage to the tank that manages the assets.

If we adhere to the Radyan paradigm, then from the constant triad of “director-party organizer-chief engineer” required within the framework of the new system, it is not surprising that the “party organizer” is deprived of the function of ensuring social stability in the world i. The “director” (not in sense of position, but in sense of function) can become such a “distant” figure. This is just like a shareholder. And the “head engineer” can often automate (diagnostics), often transfer to outsourcing (change an engineering solution).

The same concept of “power” in the new economy is becoming, at least, “mosaic”. If power is “mosaic,” then how can we talk about saving the traditional approach to investment? In principle, how much investment is possible in power, the real beneficiary, which is the “dispersed view” of the blockchain measure? How can one invest in such power resources that are liquid outside of virtual finance?

It is important that shaped by the remaining fates of the global economy, “investment cycles” have become burdened by a gigantic burden of investment derivatives and surrogates. Economic priorities, supported by market motivation, began to play an overriding role. For example, investment stimulation in the country with great unemployment and cheap labor force. Classic buttstocks: Bangladesh, African countries, Pakistan, India. Ale varto zagadat і industrial part of Latin America, the lower regions of the Asia-Pacific region, promoted to the “industrial “tigers”.

It is stated: in the minds of the supernatural humanitarianization of investment priorities, it is extremely important to implement the principles of 4PR. In order to successfully, at a minimum, promote the “fourth industrial revolution”, we would like that systemically inferior view, as it is interpreted, to result in the dehumanization of investments, and subsequently operations Much space. To put it simply, the operational space of 4PR may be “socially unreliable.”

However, the ideal space for a “revolution” is an “investment waste”, without any depressing social and humanitarian implications.

For 4PR, it is necessary to “clear” the space of socio-economic problems that previously formed, and to reset the investment cycles formed in the last 25-30 years. Beginning with the transfer of trade between the “smart entry” and China, the channel will include economically competitive mutual relations. “China” is also a clear understanding of where the PRC stands as the dominant center of the vast industrial space. The news of Zahid-China will create a key “investment cycle” in the current economy, which will become economically “unwieldy” and become increasingly complicated by “political tensions”. It would be impossible to “reset” this entire cycle without global inheritances
.

Food: why isn’t the idea of ​​the imminence and imminence of a new industrial revolution partly in preparation for a global investment default? And this is what is meant by the barvy term “revolution”. Even after this default, after the imminent (albeit time-sensitive) regionalization of global finance, it is impossible to assess the legacy and prospects of the new situation, the 4PR itself did not disappear at a glance and in itself, and from the perspective of their real socio-economic place.

Those who are born at the same time, draw on the possibility and prospects, as well as fears, of wasting their human nature, or even their life. Neither much nor little... The Fourth Technological Revolution (4TR), as the most powerful way of unstructured management of humanity, can completely turn our world upside down. How the three advanced technological revolutions 3TP, 2TP and 1TP have already turned upside down. On one side, the stench destroyed the slavery of earthlings, transferring it into the digital plane. Having become clear-sighted from another world, it became more possible for everyone to discover the truth. The risks of 4TP failure may be as great as the possibilities that open up.

Are you ready to prepare us? Why are you getting ready?

We’ll try to freeze it in the beginning of May, even though we’re standing at the 4TP level, since it’s already covering everyone, so it’s starting now. What kind of revolution is this?

They revolutionized, they revolutionized, and they did not revolutionize

Humanity has experienced three industrial revolutions. The first quarter, at this point, has the potential to raise the standard of living of all earthlings. Why, let’s say, do the backstage workers need such a level of life? They don’t need 7 or 9 billion people to live in abundance, without illness, deprived of young people up to 120 years of age, and everyone has access to both knowledge and management, and a complex physical robot works with robots. The very same and a lot of other things can be dated 4TP. So, roughly speaking, this revolution can completely reformat our cooperative partnership, change the needs of people, change the form of work of corporations and the country.


Klaus Martin Schwab, a Swiss economist, founder and permanent president of the World Economic Forum (WEF) at Davos since 1971, emphasizes that the transition from simple digitization (3TP) to innovations that are based on a combination in technology nations (4TP), companies are already looking at each other put before how the stench works. Technological innovations will lead to a revolutionary breakthrough in the field of propositions with long-term advantages in the efficiency and productivity of work. All this opens up new markets and spurs economic growth. We remember that the liberal model is keenly looking for ways to continue the expansionary policy of market functioning. The land has been completely reclaimed, and further expansion will be carried out nowhere. І 4TP can date an endless expansion of markets for the market virtualization market. They noted how the digitization of the third technological revolution has already pumped up markets with virtual territories: Internet retail, social media, online games, etc. And the capitalization of ICT companies is growing like crazy.

Of course, it is impossible to immediately re-do what scenario 4TP will develop. A new revolution could destroy social unrest, because robotization as a result of the impact on Uzbekistan of people who are not ready for a new way of life and retraining. The ones who will lose the most from the new revolution are those who provide intellectual and physical capital: wine producers, shareholders and investors. Now there is a sharp demand for high-qualified workers and a reduction in demand for low-qualified workers. The ongoing process of depopulation is in full swing, because... The level of illumination in the world becomes even lower, and, more than anything else, people are now citing Uzbek civilizations. And at least 6 billion earthlings. I make sure that the stench is simply cleaned out. There are already a lot of methods, but not just Rozmov.

What technological trends must first be influenced by changes in the world and will be pleasant for mastering in the near future:

Blockchain technology. The purpose of transaction blocks is to follow the rules for transaction blocks that are being formed. First implemented in the Bitcoin cryptocurrency;

Development of medicine and the Internet. That is, for example, remote diagnostics, if the doctor can change his position on the edge. Moreover, the prevention of illness comes first, because diagnosis is carried out gradually and illness is detected in the early stages, since it is cheaper and easier to treat them;

3D printing. Nowadays there are no laboratories, and the profitability of 3D sampling has already approached the profitability of standard laboratory ones;

Compact life-giving devices, as they are environmentally friendly. For example, solar batteries are used to store electricity and, as a result, can create alarms that are not exposed to third-party electrical components or burn out.

Internet of speeches (IoT). T.Z., “reasonable” have been coming into our room for a long time now. They are shocked by the fact that some everyday device or gadget binds Merezha with all the world. And “reasonable” booths

Global banks such as Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse and others have already joined the R3 consortium to further develop blockchain technology. The main advantage of blockchain over traditional banking transactions is the presence of intermediaries. Blockchain technology can reduce the infrastructure costs of banks by $15-20 billion in the region by 2022. Among the other “advantages” of the technology are the irrevocability of transactions, the impossibility of subdivision, and possible mitigation The transparency of the transaction has been reduced, and all transaction fragments are strictly verified by third parties. Use blockchain and central banks of many countries, incl. Britain, Russia and others.

Experts say that once technology is introduced into everyday life, control of banks, governments, auditors, controllers, insurance companies and registrars is simply not necessary. One type of technology allows trading with “smart” contracts, decentralized organizations and programmed assets. Other uses of the blockchain for non-economic purposes. For example, in the future the system will be victorious within the framework of the electronic order. Moreover, in this case, the visibility of his work and control of both his activities on the side of marriage, as well as the control of government agencies over unauthorized activities and attempts to act indiscriminately on the side of business and the rule of law enforcement are achieved.

Globalization is consuming the planet at a crazy pace. The same blockchain can be completely replaced as primary currencies (what is the result of the pyramid of bucks? - it’s so easy to replace...), as well as all types of connections between companies, government agencies, communities, uniting everyone in joint ventures. I like to measure, de We have insight into the life of each person. and completely controlled. You can also completely turn off the “sir” of business schemes, corruption, etc.

It’s best to introduce these technologies in such great countries as the USA, China and Russia, where 4TP is most likely to be tested at a testing site, as it was, for example, with high-speed Internet technologies.

Testing of 4TP technologies

Just think about why 4G connections and broadband Internet were introduced in the farthest part of Europe. Moreover, please note, this was developed earlier, in France, Italy and other prosperous Netherlands and Sweden. Think about it - in the evil Moldova, where out of 3.5 million inhabitants there are close to 1 million who work abroad to earn money. Have you arrived so happily? Why does the poor region of Europe have the best ICT infrastructure? It was developed by the Orange corporation, the head office of which is located in Paris. In Moldova, the Orange Moldova subdivision is the leader in the market of steel binder. On the right is that in any innovative high-tech business there is a testing phase, which requires manual selection of developers who are the first to deny access to advanced technologies. I realize that Moldova was an ideal Maidan for such testing. For what reason did the Moldovans take away not just an affordable mobile phone call and the Swiss broadband Internet, but one of the most competitive markets where high-speed mobile phone services can be obtained at an affordable price? people with little income. And the wealth of Moldovans, we repeat, is the lowest in Europe.

At the international Moldova ICT Summit 2016, ideas were voiced on how to implement the 4TP itself in such a small power. At the last WEF forum in Davos, basic technologies were formulated that would radically change the world over a period of 10 years, they are already developing, but have not yet gone away from widespread stagnation, and who will be the first to banish them from the vikorists, vir to move forward a dozen years, to achieve such titles, " toad striper." That is, it can be re-trimmed through a number of evolutionary developments. If economies are now divided into developed ones, then, in the opinion of WEF experts, in 10 years they will be divided into innovative and non-innovative ones. Since the country is non-innovative, then we must rely on it before human resources, and before intellectual resources, because they cannot deny what an innovative economy can give them: the vigor of the business environment looking for high-tech services, exhausting one’s potential. etc. That is, a similar “toad cut” in Moldova or in similar small countries such as Luxembourg, Singapore, Estonia or Georgia is entirely possible, and even now there are clearly agreeable minds and competitive translations gi, which for the rich can be unsatisfactory. Axis of transfer of Moldova:

Compact territory;

near the center of Europe;

IT infrastructure is one of the best in the world;

The population is digitized, which is not the case in all countries that are developing;

A number of IT specialists are critically needed to implement such tasks from various tasks and carry out pilot projects.

A 4TP cob can be obtained from Moldova by stretching it straight away. Yakshcho Vlada, as it seems, is rizikne. According to the fact that there is a single center of praise for the decision: the Moldovan oligarch-farmer Vlad Plahotniuc recently visited the United States and especially tasted cookies from Nuland. In addition, the Prime Minister of Moldova is Pavlo Filip, who has been the Minister of Information Development for a long time. Tobto. everyone is virishuvan. In the first spring, testing of 4TP can begin in full in Moldova.

The food is like this: which country can first implement and then sell know-how, passing on the evidence to the rest of the world. A similar experiment will be carried out not where it is cheaper, but where it is possible to conduct it more quickly. There are still those who are ready to invest in Moldova, fortunately they will not need so much money, and besides, the region has long been a testing ground for technologies such as 4G.

It is clear that such a technological revolution in Moldova could look fantastic. However, the country is going through its bifurcation point - a change in the operating mode of the system, which, having established itself, is now breaking down the economic model, as in Ukraine. The wage economy has sunk, GDP is falling, the agricultural industry is frozen, the Russian market has been spent, the European market is essentially closed due to a complex certification process, product quotas, and so on. However, the ICT sector has already become so widespread that, given such critical geographical conditions, conducting a global experiment based on the stagnation of high technologies could overshadow the conservatism of the Moldovans.

Blockchain robot startups are now being launched, and the specialized association is seriously focused on testing the technology.

For materials from the Moldovan press: businessclass.md and in.

Facets of the future

It is clear that 3TP is richly innovative in support of marriage. The total digitization of both speeches and people, for example, was compared to the derivation of the number of the beast, and the most conservative part of the marriage takes this as a sign of “the end of the hours and the dawn of the Antichrist.” The axis is given to you by the biblical apocalyptic matrix, within the framework of which we are still understanding. And 4TP is a logical package of advanced digitization.

Judging by the pumped-up matrix of science fiction that is unwinding, then in the future there are two options:

1. Total disenfranchisement of many bastards and the gloom of the post-apocalyptic future. Methods of depopulation (impoverishment of “captive” people) are either not declared, but are sparingly identified, such as war, epidemic, man-made or natural disaster, etc.

2. Total digitization of all humanity and further culling of “lousy human material” (“Hour”, “Matrix” etc.).

And, please respect, everything is total. Totalitarianism, against which everyone has fought so hard, is approaching, get ready.

It’s difficult to say whether the 4TP scenario will be tested and tested. The test site could be a small country such as Moldova, Estonia or Singapore. Perhaps, in every region of the planet there will be such a run-in, first the lower DP will take on great ends. If you are afraid of anyone, decide for yourself. Even if it weren’t there, for whatever minds you could crumble to the point of humanity. It’s more that the DP himself is afraid that he will come out into the world like an roundworm. It’s even more important that all the projects are stalled, moving forward through Russia with its sovereign policy. Moreover, there are too many people who understand global management processes (and not just here, but throughout the whole world), so that they can easily be turned into the style of the slave system.

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